Sport Picks
Cessnock City Hornets vs Newcastle Croatia
AI Match Summary
Cessnock City Hornets host Newcastle Croatia in the Northern NSW State League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cessnock City Hornets have averaged 1.13 scored and 2.63 conceded recently, against Newcastle Croatia's 2.63 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Newcastle Croatia slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.63, favoring Newcastle Croatia. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Cessnock City Hornets lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Croatia.
- Model gives Newcastle Croatia a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cessnock City Hornets | Newcastle Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 14 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Croatia let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Cessnock City Hornets's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Cessnock City Hornets remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cessnock City Hornets
(Home)Newcastle Croatia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Macquarie | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 50:20 | 31 |
| 2 | Wallsend Red Devils | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 39:19 | 31 |
| 3 | New Lambton | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 34:21 | 26 |
| 4 | Newcastle Croatia | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33:33 | 21 |
| 5 | Dudley Redhead United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 6 | Cessnock City Hornets | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | 20 |
| 7 | West Wallsend FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:35 | 18 |
| 8 | Singleton Strikers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 9 | South Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11:25 | 10 |
| 10 | Toronto Awaba Stags | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20:41 | 10 |