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C.F. Benfica vs Casa Pia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014
C.F. Benfica Logo

C.F. Benfica

0 - 1
FT
Casa Pia Logo

Casa Pia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casa Pia in this Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa Pia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
C.F. Benfica
15%
Draws
34%
Casa Pia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: C.F. Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Casa Pia have won more games recently than C.F. Benfica.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on C.F. Benfica taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
C.F. Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C.F. Benfica Casa Pia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Casa Pia vs C.F. Benfica
5:0
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Casa Pia
0:1
Dec 22, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Casa Pia
1:3
Oct 6, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Casa Pia vs C.F. Benfica
0:0
Mar 17, 2013 Second Division - Zona Sul
C.F. Benfica vs Casa Pia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C.F. Benfica 42 / 100
Casa Pia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C.F. Benfica Casa Pia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

C.F. Benfica scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Casa Pia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Casa Pia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

C.F. Benfica VS Casa Pia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

C.F. Benfica

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
30 Aug
C.F. Benfica
3 : 0
Viana Alentejo
22 Sept
Alcains
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica
08 Sept
C.F. Benfica
4 : 3
Industria
24 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
C.F. Benfica
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Casa Pia

(Away)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1
Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casa Pia 14 7 6 1 20:6 44
2 1º Dezembro 14 7 4 3 24:14 39
3 Sintrense 14 5 7 2 23:15 39
4 Operario 14 5 4 5 18:17 37
5 SC Praiense 14 6 4 4 27:21 31
6 Sporting Ideal 14 5 4 5 17:19 28
7 O Elvas CAD 14 4 3 7 12:22 20
8 C.F. Benfica 14 1 0 13 15:42 7
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)