Sport Picks

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C.F. Benfica vs Sporting Ideal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014
C.F. Benfica Logo

C.F. Benfica

3 - 1
FT
Sporting Ideal Logo

Sporting Ideal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

C.F. Benfica in this Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored C.F. Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
C.F. Benfica
15%
Draws
28%
Sporting Ideal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: C.F. Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Ideal have won more games recently than C.F. Benfica.
  • C.F. Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
C.F. Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C.F. Benfica Sporting Ideal
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sporting Ideal vs C.F. Benfica
1:0
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Sporting Ideal
3:1
Jan 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Sporting Ideal
2:4
Oct 27, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Sporting Ideal vs C.F. Benfica
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C.F. Benfica 83 / 100
Sporting Ideal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C.F. Benfica Sporting Ideal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick C.F. Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

C.F. Benfica scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Ideal conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Sporting Ideal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

C.F. Benfica VS Sporting Ideal
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

C.F. Benfica

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
30 Aug
C.F. Benfica
3 : 0
Viana Alentejo
22 Sept
Alcains
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica
08 Sept
C.F. Benfica
4 : 3
Industria
24 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
C.F. Benfica
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Sporting Ideal

(Away)
08 May
SC Praiense
3 : 0
Sporting Ideal
01 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Apr
Sporting Ideal
1 : 2
Operario
10 Apr
Sporting Ideal
2 : 4
SC Praiense
03 Apr
CD Rabo Peixe
6 : 0
Sporting Ideal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casa Pia 14 7 6 1 20:6 44
2 1º Dezembro 14 7 4 3 24:14 39
3 Sintrense 14 5 7 2 23:15 39
4 Operario 14 5 4 5 18:17 37
5 SC Praiense 14 6 4 4 27:21 31
6 Sporting Ideal 14 5 4 5 17:19 28
7 O Elvas CAD 14 4 3 7 12:22 20
8 C.F. Benfica 14 1 0 13 15:42 7
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)