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CF Fuenlabrada vs Pozuelo de Alarcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Fuenlabrada host Pozuelo de Alarcon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CF Fuenlabrada at 0.96 goals for, 1.29 against; Pozuelo de Alarcon at 1.14 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, CF Fuenlabrada have won 3 to Pozuelo de Alarcon's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2012, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.06, favoring Pozuelo de Alarcon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CF Fuenlabrada
35%
Draws
28%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Fuenlabrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon have won more games recently than CF Fuenlabrada.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on CF Fuenlabrada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 20%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Fuenlabrada Pozuelo de Alarcon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CF Fuenlabrada
1:1
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CF Fuenlabrada
1:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
3:1
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Fuenlabrada 58 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Fuenlabrada Pozuelo de Alarcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Fuenlabrada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pozuelo de Alarcon conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CF Fuenlabrada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CF Fuenlabrada scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Fuenlabrada VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Fuenlabrada

(Home)
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
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Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Away)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)