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Stadium Background

CF Fuenlabrada vs RSD Alcala

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Kone L.
70' Event
Alburquerque A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CF Fuenlabrada and RSD Alcala finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CF Fuenlabrada
20%
Draws
51%
RSD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RSD Alcala come out ahead of CF Fuenlabrada on wins alone.
  • Model gives RSD Alcala a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 16%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Fuenlabrada RSD Alcala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Fuenlabrada vs RSD Alcala
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs CF Fuenlabrada
0:0
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs CF Fuenlabrada
0:3
Aug 11, 2022 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs CF Fuenlabrada
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs CF Fuenlabrada
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Fuenlabrada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alburquerque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Fuenlabrada 28 / 100
RSD Alcala 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Fuenlabrada RSD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: CF Fuenlabrada stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CF Fuenlabrada scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Fuenlabrada VS RSD Alcala
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Fuenlabrada

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
CF Fuenlabrada
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RSD Alcala

(Away)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)