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CF Granma vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between CF Granma and FC Ciego de Avila finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Granma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CF Granma
6%
Draws
90%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ciego de Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Granma haven't matched FC Ciego de Avila's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Ciego de Avila taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Ciego de Avila
1:0
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs CF Granma
0:0
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Ciego de Avila
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 10 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Ciego de Avila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ciego de Avila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

CF Granma's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

CF Granma has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Granma VS FC Ciego de Avila
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122