Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2024
Sat, Feb 10, 2024
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Granma host FC Holguin in the Liga Nacional 2024. This one's hard to separate. CF Granma have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against FC Holguin's 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Holguin slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward FC Holguin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CF Granma
33%
Draws
40%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Holguin lately — more wins on the board than CF Granma.
  • Model gives FC Holguin a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 18%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Holguin
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 28 / 100
FC Holguin 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CF Granma found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

CF Granma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Granma VS FC Holguin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos11002:03
2Pinar del Rio10101:11
3Artemisa10101:11
4FC Villa Clara10100:01
5Mayabeque Guines10100:01
6Matanzas00000:00
7Isla de La Juventud00000:00
8FC La Habana10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo11001:03
2FC Ciego de Avila10100:01
3FC Holguin10100:01
4FC Santiago de Cuba00000:00
5FC Sancti Spiritus00000:00
6FC Camaguey00000:00
7CF Granma00000:00
8Las Tunas10010:10