Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

CF Granma

1 - 1

FC Holguin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between CF Granma and FC Holguin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

CF Granma

33%

Draws

40%

FC Holguin

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

CF Granma haven't matched FC Holguin's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on FC Holguin taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

CF Granma Clean Sheet 18%

FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CF Granma	FC Holguin
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	7	11
Draws	5	9
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 28 / 100

FC Holguin 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CF Granma FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Holguin conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CF Granma found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

CF Granma has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Granma VS FC Holguin

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8