Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Roche J.
58'
58'
Tenorio A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between CF Illueca and CD Carinena finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Illueca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- CF Illueca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CF Illueca's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 20%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Illueca | CD Carinena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 16 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs CD Carinena
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs CF Illueca
3:3
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs CF Illueca
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs CD Carinena
1:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs CF Illueca
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Illueca Compare
Top Goalscorer Roche J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
CD Carinena Compare
Top Goalscorer Tenorio A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Illueca 36 / 100
CD Carinena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Illueca CD Carinena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
CF Illueca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
CD Carinena has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: CF Illueca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CF Illueca VS CD Carinena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Illueca
(Home) 12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0 CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2 CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1 CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3 Atletico Monzon
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1 CF Illueca
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2 CD Cuarte
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3 Atletico Monzon
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Carinena
02 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0 Huesca B
14 Mar
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Caspe
Page 1 of 3
CD Carinena
(Away) 10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1 Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1 CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1 CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2 CD Caspe
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1 CD Carinena
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1 CD Carinena
03 Apr
Binefar
4 : 2 CD Carinena
22 Mar
Zuera
2 : 1 CD Carinena
08 Mar
Epila
2 : 2 CD Carinena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
