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Stadium Background

CF Illueca vs La Almunia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Marin R.
31' Event
Bouayadi H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CF Illueca
15%
Draws
46%
La Almunia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Illueca haven't matched La Almunia's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 20%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Illueca La Almunia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs La Almunia
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs CF Illueca
2:2
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs La Almunia
3:2
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs CF Illueca
0:1
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs La Almunia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Illueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouayadi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Illueca 36 / 100
La Almunia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Illueca La Almunia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Almunia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CF Illueca scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: CF Illueca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Illueca VS La Almunia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Illueca

(Home)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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La Almunia

(Away)
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)