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CF Montreal vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal host Atlanta United in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CF Montreal at 1.55 goals for, 1.66 against; Atlanta United at 1.36 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Atlanta United slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.81, favoring CF Montreal. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CF Montreal
30%
Draws
35%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atlanta United haven't matched CF Montreal's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CF Montreal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 11%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Atlanta United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
3:2
Oct 22, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
2:3
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 40 / 100
Atlanta United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

CF Montreal scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Atlanta United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)