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CF Montreal vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gil C.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Turgeman D.
Assist: Miller P.
36'
Breza S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between CF Montreal and New England Revolution finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CF Montreal
15%
Draws
51%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution come out ahead of CF Montreal on wins alone.
  • CF Montreal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 11%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs New England Revolution
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
1:3
May 31, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs New England Revolution
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 47 / 100
New England Revolution 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Montreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CF Montreal scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

CF Montreal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS New England Revolution
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)