Sport Picks
CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
USA
MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC 
Match Events
5'
5'
Loturi V.
Assist: Owusu P.
34'
34'
Mehmeti A.
39'
39'
Owusu P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between CF Montreal and New York Red Bulls finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Montreal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CF Montreal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- New York Red Bulls have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — CF Montreal are scoring more at 2.25.
- CF Montreal are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 16%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Montreal | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
4:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Montreal Compare
Top Goalscorer Loturi V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Longstaff M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
New York Red Bulls Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Montreal 39 / 100
New York Red Bulls 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Montreal New York Red Bulls
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CFM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: New York Red Bulls conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
CF Montreal's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: CF Montreal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CF Montreal VS New York Red Bulls
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Montreal
(Home) 25 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 1 Inter Miami
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0 CF Montreal
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0 Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 1 Inter Miami
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0 Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver FC
16 May
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Chicago Fire
13 May
CF Montreal
2 : 2 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 3
New York Red Bulls
(Away) 25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1 New York Red Bulls
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1 New York Red Bulls
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3 New York Red Bulls
25 Apr
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
18 Apr
CF Montreal
4 : 1 New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
