Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Gillier T.
23' Event
Jaime I.
Assist: Morales E.
37'
Owusu P.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CF Montreal
11%
Draws
9%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Montreal come out ahead of Philadelphia Union on wins alone.
  • Model gives CF Montreal a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Philadelphia Union here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 18%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:4
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
2:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Club Friendly
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaime I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Sery Larsen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bueno J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 76 / 100
Philadelphia Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

CF Montreal's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Philadelphia Union has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

CF Montreal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Philadelphia Union
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307