Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC

Canada Canada

Championship Saputo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Morales E.
43'
Morales E.
43'
Morales E.

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Montreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CF Montreal
40%
Draws
29%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Montreal have won more games recently than Vancouver FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Vancouver FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
2:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Craig B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Doner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 31 / 100
Vancouver FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Vancouver FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

CF Montreal's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Vancouver FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-