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CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
CF Orgullo Reynosa Logo

CF Orgullo Reynosa

1 - 0
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lemus F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CF Orgullo Reynosa in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Orgullo Reynosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
CF Orgullo Reynosa
20%
Draws
56%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have won more games recently than CF Orgullo Reynosa.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 18%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Orgullo Reynosa Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemus F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Orgullo Reynosa 12 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Orgullo Reynosa Cimarrones de Sonora 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Orgullo Reynosa found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

CF Orgullo Reynosa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CF Orgullo Reynosa VS Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Orgullo Reynosa

(Home)
05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1
CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Away)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)