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CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Tecos

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
CF Orgullo Reynosa Logo

CF Orgullo Reynosa

1 - 1
FT
Tecos Logo

Tecos

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Bernal J.
59' Event
Lugo F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CF Orgullo Reynosa
35%
Draws
32%
Tecos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tecos lately — more wins on the board than CF Orgullo Reynosa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 68%
Tecos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Orgullo Reynosa Tecos
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Tecos
1:1
Aug 12, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Orgullo Reynosa 41 / 100
Tecos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Orgullo Reynosa Tecos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Orgullo Reynosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Orgullo Reynosa found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Tecos let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

CF Orgullo Reynosa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tecos
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Orgullo Reynosa

(Home)
05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1
CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6

Tecos

(Away)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)