Sport Picks
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon 
Match Events
33'
33'
Horta Leitao D.
Assist: Bruno L.
46'
46'
Sub
Pipo In: Correia R.
Out: Pipo
64'
64'
Sub
Mucuana Lobo E. J. In: Fernandes D.
Out: Mucuana Lobo E. J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between CF Os Belenenses and Caldas SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CF Os Belenenses come out ahead of Caldas SC on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on CF Os Belenenses taking it.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Os Belenenses | Caldas SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs CF Os Belenenses
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Os Belenenses Compare
Top Goalscorer Horta Leitao D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Caldas SC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
Caldas SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Os Belenenses Caldas SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Os Belenenses found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: CF Os Belenenses stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Caldas SC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
CF Os Belenenses VS Caldas SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Os Belenenses
(Home) 19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Caldas SC
31 Jul
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1 Estoril
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0 SC Farense
Page 1 of 3
Caldas SC
(Away) 13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3 Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Caldas SC
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1 Caldas SC
18 Apr
Atletico CP
2 : 0 Caldas SC
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Caldas SC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
