Sport Picks
CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon 
Match Events
4'
4'
Tomas N.
Assist: Horta Leitao D.
44'
44'
Chamito
Assist: Tomas N.
45'
45'
Tomas N.
AI Match Summary
CF Os Belenenses in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Os Belenenses.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santarem haven't matched CF Os Belenenses's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%
Santarem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Os Belenenses | Santarem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem
5:0
May 2, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Liga 3
Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Os Belenenses Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomas N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chamito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Santarem Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
Santarem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Os Belenenses Santarem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CF Os Belenenses scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Santarem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Solid form: CF Os Belenenses remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
CF Os Belenenses VS Santarem
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Os Belenenses
(Home) 19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Atletico CP
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Caldas SC
31 Jul
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1 Estoril
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0 SC Farense
Page 1 of 3
Santarem
(Away) 20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0 Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
08 Aug
Covilha
2 : 0 Santarem
10 May
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Santarem
02 May
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1 Santarem
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
