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CF Rapid vs Casalarreina CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 game between CF Rapid and Casalarreina CF finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CF Rapid
15%
Draws
42%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Rapid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Casalarreina CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Casalarreina CF here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CF Rapid Clean Sheet 20%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Rapid Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Casalarreina CF
2:4
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CF Rapid
5:1
Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CF Rapid
4:0
Nov 5, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Casalarreina CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Rapid 32 / 100
Casalarreina CF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Rapid Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Casalarreina CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Rapid's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casalarreina CF
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Rapid

(Home)
01 May
Vianes
4 : 0
CF Rapid
24 Apr
CF Rapid
3 : 0
Agoncillo
14 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 2
CF Rapid
10 Apr
CF Rapid
0 : 1
Cenicero
03 Apr
Arnedo
5 : 0
CF Rapid
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Casalarreina CF

(Away)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
11 May
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 0
Casalarreina CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arnedo 30 20 8 2 62:25 68
2 Alfaro 30 21 4 5 65:30 67
3 Anguiano 30 18 8 4 61:22 62
4 Varea 30 17 8 5 59:36 59
5 Casalarreina CF 30 17 6 7 55:34 57
6 CDFC La Calzada 30 17 5 8 43:23 56
7 Oyonesa 30 14 3 13 39:33 45
8 CD Calahorra B 30 13 5 12 58:44 44
9 Agoncillo 30 10 6 14 28:41 36
10 Haro Deportivo 30 9 8 13 37:34 35
11 River Ebro 30 10 3 17 36:48 33
12 Berceo 30 9 4 17 40:47 31
13 Vianes 30 8 7 15 42:57 31
14 Yague 30 8 7 15 38:53 31
15 CF Rapid 30 4 4 22 24:88 16
16 Cenicero 30 1 2 27 10:82 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 (Play Offs)