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CF Talavera vs Alcorcon

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Aparicio E.
64' Event
Carmona M.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CF Talavera
35%
Draws
39%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Talavera lately — more wins on the board than Alcorcon.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alcorcon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 17%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Talavera Alcorcon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
CF Talavera vs Alcorcon
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
CF Talavera vs Alcorcon
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Alcorcon vs CF Talavera
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Alcorcon
0:2
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
CF Talavera vs Alcorcon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Talavera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Talavera 31 / 100
Alcorcon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Talavera Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Talavera's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alcorcon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

CF Talavera has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Talavera VS Alcorcon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Talavera

(Home)
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1
Getafe B
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
CF Talavera
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Alcorcon

(Away)
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
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