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CF Trujillo vs CD Badajoz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CF Trujillo and CD Badajoz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
CF Trujillo
15%
Draws
68%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Badajoz come out ahead of CF Trujillo on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Trujillo CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Badajoz
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs CF Trujillo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Trujillo 10 / 100
CD Badajoz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Trujillo CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

CF Trujillo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

CD Badajoz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: CF Trujillo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Badajoz
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Trujillo

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
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CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)