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CF Trujillo vs Moralo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Silva Reis R. W.
90' Event
Peguero G.

AI Match Summary

Moralo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CF Trujillo
15%
Draws
65%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moralo lately — more wins on the board than CF Trujillo.
  • Moralo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 16%
Moralo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Trujillo Moralo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Moralo
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Moralo
3:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CF Trujillo
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Moralo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Reis R. W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peguero G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Trujillo 15 / 100
Moralo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Trujillo Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CF Trujillo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Moralo let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: CF Trujillo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moralo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Trujillo

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
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Moralo

(Away)
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)