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CF Vilanova vs Cornella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Lorente B.
43' Event
Celma A.
51'
Golubovic S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CF Vilanova and Cornella finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CF Vilanova
35%
Draws
32%
Cornella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cornella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CF Vilanova a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 18%
Cornella Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Cornella
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs CF Vilanova
1:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs CF Vilanova
1:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Vilanova Compare

Top Goalscorer Celma A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torrents J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cornella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 41 / 100
Cornella 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Cornella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Vilanova went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cornella let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

CF Vilanova scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS Cornella
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
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Cornella

(Away)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
19 Sept
Cornella
0 : 0
L Hospitalet
12 Sept
Cornella
3 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
29 Aug
Barcelona B
1 : 2
Cornella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)