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CF Vilanova vs Terrassa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between CF Vilanova and Terrassa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CF Vilanova
15%
Draws
26%
Terrassa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Terrassa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CF Vilanova a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 20%
Terrassa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Terrassa
Matches Played 36 39
Wins 14 16
Draws 12 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Terrassa
3:1
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Terrassa vs CF Vilanova
2:2
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Terrassa
2:4
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Terrassa vs CF Vilanova
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 58 / 100
Terrassa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Terrassa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CF Vilanova scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Terrassa conceded in 62% of 39 recent games.

CF Vilanova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS Terrassa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
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Terrassa

(Away)
19 Aug
Terrassa
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
03 May
Terrassa
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
26 Apr
Baleares
3 : 1
Terrassa
19 Apr
Terrassa
2 : 3
UD Poblense
12 Apr
Alcoyano
0 : 0
Terrassa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)