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Ch. Odesa 2 vs Rebel Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Yushko D.
48' Event
Yushko D.

AI Match Summary

Rebel Kyiv in this Druha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebel Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ch. Odesa 2
15%
Draws
59%
Rebel Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rebel Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv have won more games recently than Ch. Odesa 2.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Rebel Kyiv taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rebel Kyiv have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ch. Odesa 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa 2 Rebel Kyiv
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Druha Liga
Ch. Odesa 2 vs Rebel Kyiv
0:2
Oct 8, 2025 Druha Liga
Ch. Odesa 2 vs Rebel Kyiv
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Ch. Odesa 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ch. Odesa 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Yushko D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 2 22 / 100
Rebel Kyiv 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa 2 Rebel Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebel Kyiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebel Kyiv has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ch. Odesa 2 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ch. Odesa 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa 2 VS Rebel Kyiv
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa 2

(Home)
24 May
Ch. Odesa 2
2 : 1
Oleksandriya 2
17 May
Trostyanets
3 : 0
Ch. Odesa 2
10 May
Ch. Odesa 2
0 : 5
Lokomotyv Kyiv
06 May
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 0
Ch. Odesa 2
01 May
Ch. Odesa 2
0 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
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Rebel Kyiv

(Away)
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
16 Aug
SC Poltava 2
2 : 0
Rebel Kyiv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)