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Ch. Odesa vs Kolos Kovalivka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ch. Odesa host Kolos Kovalivka in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Ch. Odesa have averaged 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against Kolos Kovalivka's 1.48 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Ch. Odesa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.19) back Kolos Kovalivka to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ch. Odesa
30%
Draws
31%
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ch. Odesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kolos Kovalivka have won more games recently than Ch. Odesa.
  • Model gives Ch. Odesa a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Kolos Kovalivka
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.08 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kolos Kovalivka
0:0
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kolos Kovalivka vs Ch. Odesa
2:2
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kolos Kovalivka vs Ch. Odesa
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Ch. Odesa
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kolos Kovalivka
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 50 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Kolos Kovalivka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ch. Odesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ch. Odesa scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Ch. Odesa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kolos Kovalivka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Kolos Kovalivka
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 6

Kolos Kovalivka

(Away)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
20 Sept
Kudrivka
2 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
3 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
4 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
5 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)