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Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Cha Grande and Belo Jardim finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belo Jardim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Cha Grande
20%
Draws
70%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Belo Jardim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Belo Jardim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Belo Jardim have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Grande Belo Jardim
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
0:3
Sep 25, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Cha Grande
3:0
May 1, 2013 Pernambucano
Belo Jardim vs Cha Grande
1:2
Mar 17, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
1:2
Feb 17, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 10 / 100
Belo Jardim 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Grande Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belo Jardim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belo Jardim has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cha Grande scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Cha Grande went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cha Grande VS Belo Jardim
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Grande

(Home)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 7 6 1 0 18:4 19
2 Caruaru 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
3 Aguia FC 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Belo Jardim 7 3 3 1 11:7 12
5 Pesqueira 7 1 5 1 3:4 8
6 Cha Grande 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
7 1º de Maio 7 1 1 5 6:16 4
8 Sete de Setembro (PE) 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)