Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2014

Ypiranga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cha Grande play Ypiranga in the Campeonato Pernambucano 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cha Grande averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Ypiranga averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Cha Grande won 1, Ypiranga won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 16, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Cha Grande and 1.44 for Ypiranga. This points to a Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Cha Grande

35%

Draws

41%

Ypiranga

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Cha Grande picked up more points recently compared to Ypiranga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

Cha Grande Clean Sheet 16%

Ypiranga Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cha Grande	Ypiranga
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	7
Draws	10	16
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	0.73	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.6	0.81
Expected Goals (xG)	1.14	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Pernambucano 2

Ypiranga vs Cha Grande

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Mar 15, 2014 Pernambucano

Cha Grande vs Ypiranga

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

Feb 19, 2014 Pernambucano

Ypiranga vs Cha Grande

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jan 15, 2014 Pernambucano

Ypiranga vs Cha Grande

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Dec 15, 2013 Pernambucano

Cha Grande vs Ypiranga

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 25 / 100

Ypiranga 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cha Grande Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ypiranga or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cha Grande attacking → ← attacking Ypiranga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cha Grande scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ypiranga let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cha Grande went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ypiranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 37

1.14 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75