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Chabab Benguerir vs Chabab Mohammedia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chabab Benguerir host Chabab Mohammedia in the Botola 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chabab Mohammedia have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Chabab Benguerir have conceded 0.85 and scored 0.94. Past meetings favor Chabab Mohammedia slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.69) point toward Chabab Benguerir. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chabab Benguerir
30%
Draws
31%
Chabab Mohammedia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chabab Benguerir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chabab Mohammedia haven't matched Chabab Benguerir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chabab Benguerir's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Chabab Benguerir Clean Sheet 20%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Benguerir Chabab Mohammedia
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.94 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Coupe du Trone
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
0:3
Mar 7, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
1:0
Aug 9, 2020 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Benguerir 40 / 100
Chabab Mohammedia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Benguerir Chabab Mohammedia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chabab Benguerir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chabab Benguerir scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Chabab Mohammedia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Chabab Benguerir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Benguerir VS Chabab Mohammedia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Benguerir

(Home)
17 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 2
Chabab Benguerir
10 Oct
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
04 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0
Chabab Benguerir
27 Sept
Chabab Benguerir
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 7

Chabab Mohammedia

(Away)
11 Oct
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 1
Chabab Mohammedia
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Ittihad Khemisset 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 USM Oujda 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Dcheira 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Wydad Fes 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
6 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
7 Olympique de Safi 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
11 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Olympique Khouribga 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
15 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
16 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)