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Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chabab Mohammedia host Stade Marocain in the Botola 2. This one's hard to separate. Stade Marocain have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Chabab Mohammedia have conceded 1.46 and scored 0.68. Past meetings favor Stade Marocain slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Stade Marocain. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chabab Mohammedia
30%
Draws
41%
Stade Marocain
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Marocain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stade Marocain lately — more wins on the board than Chabab Mohammedia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Mohammedia Stade Marocain
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.68 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
3:0
Feb 26, 2011 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain
0:0
Oct 23, 2010 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
May 2, 2010 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 36 / 100
Stade Marocain 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Mohammedia Stade Marocain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Marocain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chabab Mohammedia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chabab Mohammedia's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stade Marocain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS Stade Marocain
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Mohammedia

(Home)
18 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
1 : 1
Olympique Khouribga
11 Oct
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 1
Chabab Mohammedia
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
Page 1 of 6

Stade Marocain

(Away)
24 Oct
Olympique Khouribga
1 : 1
Stade Marocain
17 Oct
Stade Marocain
2 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
10 Oct
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
03 Oct
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Ittihad Khemisset
27 Sept
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)