Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Calderara B. In: Chaves N.
Out: Calderara B.
53' Event
Sanabria M.
Assist: Cuevas J.
59' Event
Zicarelli F.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Chacarita Juniors in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chacarita Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chacarita Juniors
44%
Draws
20%
Colegiales
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Colegiales have won more games recently than Chacarita Juniors.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chacarita Juniors have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors Colegiales
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
2:0
Oct 13, 2014 Primera B
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
2:1
Aug 21, 2014 Primera B
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors
0:1
Apr 16, 2014 Primera B
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
1:0
Aug 14, 2013 Primera B
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanabria M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melendez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Colegiales Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 36 / 100
Colegiales 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors Colegiales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chacarita Juniors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Colegiales has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chacarita Juniors found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Colegiales
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
07 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Temperley
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Colegiales

(Away)
14 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Colegiales
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1
Quilmes
13 Jun
Colegiales
2 : 0
San Martin T.
06 Jun
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)