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Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chacarita Juniors host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Chacarita Juniors have averaged 0.68 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Deportivo Maipu's 1.18 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Chacarita Juniors slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.63 - 1.06) back Deportivo Maipu to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chacarita Juniors
30%
Draws
42%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Maipu come out ahead of Chacarita Juniors on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chacarita Juniors a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chacarita Juniors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
3:2
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
2:1
Feb 26, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 42 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Chacarita Juniors scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Chacarita Juniors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Deportivo Maipu
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)