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Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

3 - 0
FT
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Melendez M.
16' Event
Guanca C.
Assist: Chaves N.
36'
Sanabria M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Chacarita Juniors and Quilmes finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chacarita Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chacarita Juniors
15%
Draws
46%
Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quilmes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quilmes come out ahead of Chacarita Juniors on wins alone.
  • Chacarita Juniors are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors Quilmes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
3:0
May 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
0:4
Feb 26, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Quilmes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 68 / 100
Quilmes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors Quilmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chacarita Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Chacarita Juniors found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Quilmes conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Chacarita Juniors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Quilmes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes

(Away)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)