Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chacaritas vs Atletico Porteno

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Velasco K.
59' Event
Detona J.
61'
Mero E.

AI Match Summary

Chacaritas host Atletico Porteno in the Serie B 2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Atletico Porteno have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Chacaritas have conceded 2.5 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Chacaritas have won 4 to Atletico Porteno's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2021, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.04 - 1.75) back Atletico Porteno to edge this. Atletico Porteno in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chacaritas
28%
Draws
50%
Atletico Porteno
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Porteno has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chacaritas.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Atletico Porteno.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 12%
Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacaritas Atletico Porteno
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2021 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Porteno
2:1
Jul 11, 2021 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Chacaritas
2:1
Jun 6, 2021 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Porteno
3:0
Apr 5, 2021 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Chacaritas
1:3
Nov 8, 2020 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Atletico Porteno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacaritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Detona J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atletico Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacaritas 22 / 100
Atletico Porteno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacaritas Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacaritas scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chacaritas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Porteno lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacaritas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cumbaya36207947:3667
2Gualaceo361791046:3160
3EL Nacional361611949:3659
4Chacaritas3612131135:3449
5America de Quito361017941:3347
6Buhos ULVR361451741:5347
7Independiente Juniors3611101545:4643
8Atletico Santo Domingo3610121437:4442
9Atletico Porteno361161946:6439
10LDU Portoviejo369101742:5237