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Chaco FC vs San Juan FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. San Juan FC have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Chaco FC have conceded 2.75 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Chaco FC have won 0 to San Juan FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 2.04 vs 1.57, favoring San Juan FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chaco FC
15%
Draws
45%
San Juan FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Juan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Juan FC lately — more wins on the board than Chaco FC.
  • Win probability leans Chaco FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • San Juan FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 14%
San Juan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco FC San Juan FC
Matches Played 12 22
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.17 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Juan FC vs Chaco FC
5:1
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs San Juan FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco FC 41 / 100
San Juan FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco FC San Juan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco FC found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (12 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

San Juan FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Chaco FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaco FC VS San Juan FC
2.71 Goals Scored 1
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
86% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
29 Aug
Chaco FC
3 : 2
26 de Febrero
Page 1 of 3

San Juan FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 1
San Juan FC
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz -
Mineros Potosi -
Independiente CBBA -
Central Union -
Tiquipaya -
San Martin de Yacuiba -
26 de Febrero -
Fatic -
Em Huanuni -
Atletico Sucre -
San Juan FC -
Chaco FC -
Virginia -
Wilstermann Cooperativas -
1 de Mayo -
Deportivo Tigres -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -