Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Madryn

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia, Resistencia
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Ojeda A.
20' Event
Nievas B.
Own Goal
26' Event
Silba L.
Assist: Ayala R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Chaco For Ever and Deportivo Madryn finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chaco For Ever
39%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Madryn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Madryn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Chaco For Ever Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco For Ever Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Madryn
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Madryn
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Madryn
0:0
May 27, 2023 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaco For Ever Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinucci L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Top Goalscorer Silba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco For Ever 41 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco For Ever Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Madryn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Chaco For Ever remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chaco For Ever's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chaco For Ever VS Deportivo Madryn
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco For Ever

(Home)
11 Jul
San Telmo
1 : 3
Chaco For Ever
05 Jul
Chaco For Ever
1 : 1
Acassuso
20 Jun
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
14 Jun
Racing Cordoba
2 : 0
Chaco For Ever
07 Jun
Chaco For Ever
1 : 2
Ferro
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Madryn

(Away)
11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1
Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2
San Miguel
07 Jun
San Telmo
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)