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Chad vs Central Africa

World World

World Championship 2026 Stade Olympique Maréchal Idriss Déby Itno, N'Djamena
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mokonou D.
Assist: Djimet M.
31' Event
Baboula V.
Assist: Yawanendji-Malipangou C.
44'
Gambor H.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Chad and Central Africa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Central Africa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chad
20%
Draws
64%
Central Africa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Central Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chad haven't matched Central Africa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Chad Clean Sheet 16%
Central Africa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad Central Africa
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 2 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.57 0.77
Goals Conceded 2 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Chad vs Central Africa
2:3
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Central Africa vs Chad
1:0
Aug 2, 2019 African Nations Championship
Chad vs Central Africa
0:0
Jul 26, 2019 African Nations Championship
Central Africa vs Chad
0:0
Mar 16, 2007 Friendly International
Chad vs Central Africa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ecua C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mouandilmadji M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Central Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokonou D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baboula V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad 36 / 100
Central Africa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad Central Africa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Africa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Africa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Difficult form: Central Africa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chad's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chad VS Central Africa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad

(Home)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
Page 1 of 6

Central Africa

(Away)
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
08 Oct
Central Africa
0 : 5
Ghana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
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