Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chad vs D.R. Congo

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Chad Logo

Chad

1 - 1
FT
D.R. Congo Logo

D.R. Congo

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kabwit O.
27' Event
Yannick S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chad
20%
Draws
64%
D.R. Congo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D.R. Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • D.R. Congo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on D.R. Congo taking it.
  • D.R. Congo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and D.R. Congo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chad Clean Sheet 10%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad D.R. Congo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 2 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Chad
3:1
Dec 21, 2024 African Nations Championship
Chad vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Chad
5:0
Aug 28, 2022 African Nations Championship
Chad vs D.R. Congo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Yannick S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabwit O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad 10 / 100
D.R. Congo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Difficult form: D.R. Congo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chad's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: D.R. Congo conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chad VS D.R. Congo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad

(Home)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
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D.R. Congo

(Away)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6