Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chad vs Mozambique

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Marius
68'
Mani B.
78' Event
Catamo G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Chad
15%
Draws
64%
Mozambique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mozambique lately — more wins on the board than Chad.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chad Clean Sheet 12%
Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad Mozambique
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Chad vs Mozambique
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Marius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiam M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Catamo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilanculos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad 35 / 100
Mozambique 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mozambique conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mozambique registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chad scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chad VS Mozambique
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad

(Home)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
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Mozambique

(Away)
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
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