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Chad W vs Senegal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Fri, Feb 21, 2025
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Senegal W have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Chad W have conceded 1.56 and scored 2.67. Past meetings favor Chad W slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.50 - 0.63) back Senegal W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chad W
15%
Draws
37%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal W lately — more wins on the board than Chad W.
  • Win probability leans Chad W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Senegal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Chad W Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad W Senegal W
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Chad W
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Chad W vs Senegal W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad W 85 / 100
Senegal W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chad W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chad W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chad W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (7 games).

Senegal W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chad W VS Senegal W
5.75 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad W

(Home)
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Afghanistan W
1 : 6
Chad W
26 Feb
Senegal W
:
Chad W
21 Feb
Chad W
:
Senegal W
Page 1 of 2

Senegal W

(Away)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -