Sport Picks
Chainat Hornbill vs Kasetsart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium, Chai Nat 
Match Events
9'
9'
Athisaraworameth T.
51'
51'
Athisaraworameth T.
53'
53'
Amarildo
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chainat Hornbill and Kasetsart finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasetsart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chainat Hornbill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Chainat Hornbill carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Chainat Hornbill taking it.
- Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 68%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chainat Hornbill | Kasetsart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Kasetsart
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chainat Hornbill
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Kasetsart
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Kasetsart
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chainat Hornbill Compare
Top Goalscorer Amarildo
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimizu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Kasetsart Compare
Top Goalscorer Athisaraworameth T.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chainat Hornbill 86 / 100
Kasetsart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chainat Hornbill Kasetsart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chainat Hornbill found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Kasetsart conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Chainat Hornbill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chainat Hornbill VS Kasetsart
2 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chainat Hornbill
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0 Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
22 Aug
Chainat Hornbill
6 : 2 Welfare Royal Thai Air Force
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3 Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 3
Kasetsart
(Away) 20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0 Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2 Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0 Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0 Kasetsart
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0 Kasetsart
19 Apr
Khonkaen United
1 : 0 Kasetsart
21 Mar
Pattaya United
3 : 0 Kasetsart
08 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 1 Kasetsart
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
