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Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium
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Match Events

26' Event
Chitchanok

AI Match Summary

Mahasarakham in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahasarakham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chainat Hornbill
6%
Draws
4%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chainat Hornbill haven't matched Mahasarakham's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chainat Hornbill taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 18%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Mahasarakham
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Chainat Hornbill
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Chitchanok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 85 / 100
Mahasarakham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Mahasarakham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chainat Hornbill scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Mahasarakham has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Mahasarakham has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS Mahasarakham
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00