Sport Picks
Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium, Chai Nat 
Match Events
26'
26'
Chitchanok
AI Match Summary
Mahasarakham in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahasarakham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chainat Hornbill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Chainat Hornbill haven't matched Mahasarakham's recent run of results.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Chainat Hornbill taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 16%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chainat Hornbill | Mahasarakham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Chainat Hornbill
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Mahasarakham
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chainat Hornbill Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Mahasarakham Compare
Top Goalscorer Chitchanok
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chainat Hornbill 84 / 100
Mahasarakham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chainat Hornbill Mahasarakham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chainat Hornbill scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Mahasarakham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Chainat Hornbill remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Chainat Hornbill VS Mahasarakham
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chainat Hornbill
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0 Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
22 Aug
Chainat Hornbill
6 : 2 Welfare Royal Thai Air Force
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3 Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 4
Mahasarakham
(Away) 19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1 Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2 Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1 Mahasarakham
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0 Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
