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Stadium Background

Chainat Hornbill vs Police Tero

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Adao Cruz W.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Amarildo
66' Event
Jota

AI Match Summary

Chainat Hornbill host Police Tero in the Thai League 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Chainat Hornbill at 1.38 goals for, 1.88 against; Police Tero at 1.38 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Chainat Hornbill slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Police Tero. Police Tero in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chainat Hornbill
30%
Draws
34%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Police Tero has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chainat Hornbill.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Chainat Hornbill.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 14%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Police Tero
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Police Tero
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Police Tero
2:1
Jul 1, 2018 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Chainat Hornbill
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarildo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jota
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Police Tero Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 35 / 100
Police Tero 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Police Tero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Police Tero let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Chainat Hornbill went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Police Tero lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS Police Tero
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00