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Chainat Hornbill vs Samut Prakan City

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2024/2025
Sat, Jan 18, 2025
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chainat Hornbill host Samut Prakan City in the Thai League 2 2024/2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Samut Prakan City have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Chainat Hornbill have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Chainat Hornbill slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.44) back Chainat Hornbill to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chainat Hornbill
39%
Draws
30%
Samut Prakan City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Samut Prakan City haven't matched Chainat Hornbill's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 16%
Samut Prakan City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Samut Prakan City
Matches Played 34 14
Wins 11 1
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Samut Prakan City
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Thai League 2
Samut Prakan City vs Chainat Hornbill
0:0
Mar 22, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Samut Prakan City
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Thai League 2
Samut Prakan City vs Chainat Hornbill
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Samut Prakan City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 31 / 100
Samut Prakan City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Samut Prakan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Samut Prakan City let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Samut Prakan City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chainat Hornbill

(Home)
09 May
Pattani
2 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3
Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2
Pattaya United
19 Apr
Trat FC
3 : 3
Chainat Hornbill
05 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1
Police Tero
Page 1 of 7

Samut Prakan City

(Away)
04 Jan
Trat FC
3 : 0
Samut Prakan City
21 Dec
Samut Prakan City
0 : 0
Sisaket United
13 Dec
Bangkok FC
4 : 1
Samut Prakan City
07 Dec
Samut Prakan City
0 : 3
Phrae United
01 Dec
Chiangmai United
2 : 1
Samut Prakan City
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chonburi32196756:3063
2Ayutthaya United32179657:3060
3Phrae United32177861:3858
4Kanchanaburi321313653:3652
5Mahasarakham321391044:3948
6Lampang F.C.321391048:3948
7Kasetsart321112936:3745
8Bangkok FC321361342:5045
9Nakhon Si United321351451:5244
10Sisaket United3210111129:3941
11Chiangmai United3210101241:4840
12Police Tero321171439:4840
13Chanthaburi321081437:4838
14Chainat Hornbill328111332:3435
15Trat FC32961736:4933
16Pattaya United32881632:4732
17Suphanburi FC32572042:7222
18Samut Prakan City00000:00
Promotion - Thai League 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)