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Chalatenango vs Pasaquina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Morales B.
85' Event
Lemus M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2018/2019 game between Chalatenango and Pasaquina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chalatenango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Chalatenango
15%
Draws
36%
Pasaquina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chalatenango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pasaquina haven't matched Chalatenango's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chalatenango's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaquina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalatenango Pasaquina
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2019 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Chalatenango
1:1
Feb 14, 2019 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Pasaquina
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Pasaquina
0:1
Jul 29, 2018 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Chalatenango
1:1
Mar 25, 2018 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Pasaquina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pasaquina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalatenango 86 / 100
Pasaquina 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalatenango Pasaquina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalatenango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pasaquina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Chalatenango's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Pasaquina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chalatenango VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalatenango

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
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Pasaquina

(Away)
12 May
Alianza FC
2 : 0
Pasaquina
10 May
Pasaquina
0 : 3
Alianza FC
05 May
Audaz
2 : 3
Pasaquina
27 Apr
Pasaquina
0 : 2
Aguila
24 Apr
FAS
1 : 0
Pasaquina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 15 4 3 49:16 49
2 Aguila 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Metapan 22 9 7 6 30:23 34
4 Municipal Limeno 22 10 8 4 23:17 32
5 Chalatenango 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
6 Santa Tecla 22 7 9 6 29:30 30
7 FAS 22 7 8 7 21:19 29
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 23:31 20
9 Audaz 22 5 4 13 20:31 19
10 Luis Angel Firpo 22 4 7 11 16:31 19
11 CD Sonsonate 22 4 6 12 26:39 18
12 Jocoro 22 4 8 10 16:26 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)