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Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Cham and Fortuna Regensburg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cham
30%
Draws
32%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cham have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
2:1
Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham
1:3
Sep 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:2
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham
5:6
Jul 20, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 29 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Regensburg let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Cham has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Fortuna Regensburg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
03 Oct
Grossbardorf
0 : 1
Cham
26 Sept
Bamberg
0 : 2
Cham
18 Sept
Cham
3 : 0
Neudrossenfeld
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)