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Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham host Fortuna Regensburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cham have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Fortuna Regensburg's 2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Cham have won 4 to Fortuna Regensburg's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Cham. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cham
20%
Draws
38%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cham taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cham Clean Sheet 13%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham
1:3
Sep 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:2
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham
5:6
Jul 20, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
5:2
Mar 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 40 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Fortuna Regensburg let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.20 goals as a typical output.

Cham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Fortuna Regensburg
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1
Cham
18 Jul
Cham
3 : 0
Bayern Hof
02 Jun
Furth II
1 : 0
Cham
29 May
Cham
1 : 3
Furth II
09 May
Stadeln
1 : 0
Cham
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
25 Jul
Fortuna Regensburg
0 : 1
Bamberg
21 Jul
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
16 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Weiden
08 May
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
02 May
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bamberg22005:16
2Gebenbach22005:16
3Cham22004:06
4Wurzburger FV21105:34
5Stadeln21106:54
6DJK Ammerthal21101:04
7Neudrossenfeld21012:23
8Bayern Hof21012:33
9Grossbardorf21011:23
10Regensburg II20204:42
11TSV Kornburg20202:22
12Ingolstadt II20115:71
13DJK Don Bosco Bamberg20112:41
14Nordlingen20111:31
15Aschaffenburg00000:00
16ASV Neumarkt20020:20
17Fortuna Regensburg20020:20
18Weiden20021:50
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)