Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cham vs Grossbardorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Strohmenger T.
20' Event
Medineli E.
48' Event
Ostermayr C.

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cham
15%
Draws
36%
Grossbardorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cham lately — more wins on the board than Grossbardorf.
  • Cham are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
Grossbardorf Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Grossbardorf
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Grossbardorf
3:2
Oct 29, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Grossbardorf vs Cham
2:2
Apr 16, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Grossbardorf
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Grossbardorf vs Cham
5:1
Nov 16, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs Grossbardorf
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostermayr C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Medineli E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Grossbardorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Strohmenger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atzori L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 76 / 100
Grossbardorf 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Grossbardorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Grossbardorf has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Cham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Grossbardorf
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
14 Aug
Cham
0 : 1
Gebenbach
07 Aug
Stadeln
0 : 3
Cham
31 Jul
Cham
2 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1
Cham
18 Jul
Cham
3 : 0
Bayern Hof
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Grossbardorf

(Away)
07 Aug
TSV Kornburg
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
25 Jul
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 Jul
Grossbardorf
0 : 2
Wurzburger FV
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bamberg 34 23 9 2 75:33 78
2 Gebenbach 34 23 3 8 92:47 72
3 Eltersdorf 34 22 5 7 67:32 71
4 Abtswind 34 19 7 8 64:38 64
5 SV Donaustauf 34 19 4 11 83:49 61
6 DJK Ammerthal 34 14 11 9 67:62 53
7 Cham 34 13 10 11 55:52 49
8 Regensburg II 34 13 8 13 74:61 47
9 TSV Kornburg 34 13 7 14 37:49 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 13 6 15 50:50 45
11 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 5 16 56:63 44
12 ATSV Erlangen 34 12 5 17 59:60 41
13 Feucht 34 10 11 13 53:75 41
14 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 10 6 18 47:62 36
15 Bayern Hof 34 8 11 15 42:61 35
16 Grossbardorf 34 10 4 20 51:68 34
17 Weiden 34 7 7 20 56:77 28
18 Geesdorf 34 3 3 28 27:116 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2022/2023 (Relegation)