Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chamalieres vs Thonon-Evian

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Grich Z.
72' Event
Radojevic J.
90' Event
Sery J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Chamalieres and Thonon-Evian finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chamalieres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chamalieres
35%
Draws
32%
Thonon-Evian
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thonon-Evian come out ahead of Chamalieres on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 20%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chamalieres Thonon-Evian
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs Chamalieres
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Thonon-Evian
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chamalieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Grich Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sery J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thonon-Evian Compare

Top Goalscorer Radojevic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chamalieres 32 / 100
Thonon-Evian 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chamalieres Thonon-Evian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chamalieres's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thonon-Evian has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Thonon-Evian's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chamalieres VS Thonon-Evian
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chamalieres

(Home)
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
18 May
Chamalieres
2 : 2
Toulon
11 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Chamalieres
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
20 Apr
Jura Sud
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 6

Thonon-Evian

(Away)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)