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Champasak Avenir vs Ezra

Laos Laos

Lao League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Phanthavong P.
73' Event
Phanthavong P.
90' Event
Yoo D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ezra in this Lao League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ezra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Champasak Avenir
15%
Draws
34%
Ezra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Champasak Avenir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ezra have won more games recently than Champasak Avenir.
  • Champasak Avenir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ezra have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Champasak Avenir Clean Sheet 10%
Ezra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Champasak Avenir Ezra
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.62 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Lao League
Ezra vs Champasak Avenir
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Lao League
Champasak Avenir vs Ezra
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Lao League
Champasak Avenir vs Ezra
0:4
Sep 14, 2024 Lao League
Ezra vs Champasak Avenir
10:0
Jun 4, 2023 Lao League
Champasak Avenir vs Ezra
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Champasak Avenir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ezra Compare

Top Goalscorer Phanthavong P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Champasak Avenir 83 / 100
Ezra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Champasak Avenir Ezra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Champasak Avenir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Champasak Avenir scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ezra conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Champasak Avenir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Champasak Avenir VS Ezra
2.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Champasak Avenir

(Home)
14 Mar
Champasak Avenir
3 : 1
Lao Army FC
08 Mar
Savannakhet FC
0 : 7
Champasak Avenir
28 Feb
Champasak Avenir
2 : 3
GB FC
21 Feb
Young Elephant
3 : 0
Champasak Avenir
15 Feb
Champasak Avenir
3 : 2
Namtha United
Page 1 of 6

Ezra

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
14 Mar
Ezra
1 : 6
Young Elephant
08 Mar
Luang Prabang United FC
1 : 4
Ezra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ezra 18 15 1 2 63:16 46
2 Young Elephant 18 14 2 2 46:8 44
3 GB FC 18 10 4 4 50:21 34
4 Champasak Avenir 18 8 4 6 34:20 28
5 Lao Army FC 18 8 3 7 25:32 27
6 Salavan United 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
7 Luang Prabang United FC 18 5 5 8 26:30 20
8 Namtha United 18 5 4 9 23:34 19
9 BIS 18 1 5 12 15:49 8
10 Savannakhet FC 18 0 1 17 10:86 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)